… Obama’s campaign increasingly seems to view the three Rustbelt swing states, especially Ohio, as its castle keep: the last line of defense in its plan to reach the 270 Electoral College votes required for victory. … This unanticipated alignment is rooted in the contrasting economic experience and attitudes of […] Read more »
‘Gender Gap’ Near Historic Highs
If only women voted, President Obama would be on track for a landslide re-election, equaling or exceeding his margin of victory over John McCain in 2008. Mr. Obama would be an overwhelming favorite in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and most every other place that is conventionally considered a swing state. … […] Read more »
Fighting Hand-to-Hand for So-Goes-the-Nation Ohio
… Peter Hart, a Democratic pollster with more than 40 years of experience surveying Ohioans, recently conducted a focus group of a dozen undecided voters in suburban Columbus. The session crystallized the ambivalence toward the two candidates among these voters who may hold the balance in the most important state. […] Read more »
Fox News: Gallup’s Frank Newport speaks with Chris Wallace about presidential polling
Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace: Frank Newport, Gallup editor-in-chief, discusses their presidential tracking poll. Watch the latest video at <a href=”http://video.foxnews.com”>video.foxnews.com</a> Read more »
Obama and Romney hit the final stretch
There’s not much that the campaigns of Barack Obama and Mitt Romney agree upon these days, except for this: The 2012 presidential election remains to be won or lost in the next 16 days because neither side has been able to close the deal with voters. … Few voters are […] Read more »
Google’s Crystal Ball
… My research suggests that by comparing Google search rates for voting information so far this year with search rates on comparable dates from previous elections, we might already be able to get a pretty good idea of the composition of the 2012 electorate. Despite the ubiquity of Google searching, […] Read more »