There remains almost no daylight between President Obama and Republican Mitt Romney as the 2012 presidential campaign nears its conclusion, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. Likely voters nationally continue to divide about down the middle: 49 percent support Obama, 48 percent back Romney. It’s the 10th […] Read more »
Swing States Poll: Fired-up voters split, 48%-48%
Voters in the nation’s key battlegrounds have become as enthusiastic and engaged in the 2012 presidential election as they were in the historic contest four years ago, and they finally have made up their minds about President Obama and Mitt Romney. It’s a tie: 48%-48%. [cont.] Susan Page, USA Today Read more »
Reframing Turnout: Why 2008 Wasn’t As Unique As Many Imagine
The turnout assumptions of pollsters are increasingly under scrutiny, with the polls often showing Democrats with a persistent advantage in party-ID. Many hold that the polls assume an unrealistically high Democratic turnout, mainly based on the assumption that Democratic, young, and minority turnout was anomalously high in 2008 and can’t […] Read more »
Obama Gains Edge in Campaign’s Final Days
Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters. The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of […] Read more »
For most voters, presidential campaign is distant
… Over the past four decades, presidential elections have played out on a shrinking battlefield, as political parties have become more ideologically unified and Americans increasingly have moved to communities where their neighbors share their political views, analysts say. … Political analysts say the narrowed geographic scope of the presidential […] Read more »
Ohio’s Provisional Ballot Order: The Biggest Legal Story of the Weekend
With just a few dozen hours left before polls open on Election Day, here is a candidate for the most important election-law story of the weekend — a story likely to cross over into the general political debate Sunday through Monday. This early copy from the Associated Press offered a […] Read more »