On the final weekend of a fiercely fought presidential campaign, President Obama holds a narrow advantage over Mitt Romney in the crucial contest for the electoral votes needed to win the White House, even as national polls continue to show the candidates in a virtual tie for the popular vote. […] Read more »
Romney Rises in Favorability; Obama’s Pushback is Intensity
After lagging for months at historic lows, Mitt Romney’s personal popularity has advanced in the final weekend to its highest of the 2012 campaign, rivaling Barack Obama’s. But Obama pushes back with greater enthusiasm among his supporters – and the race itself remains a tie. Fifty-four percent of likely voters […] Read more »
WaPo-ABC tracking poll: All tied up as Romney draws even on favorability
President Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney are once again tied nationally with just days to go in the 2012 campaign, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. Among likely voters, Obama and Romney are deadlocked at 48 percent. For the first time this year, the two […] Read more »
Ted Frank: My election prediction
72 hours from election day! Who’s going to win? Nate Silver says that “For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased.” I think this is correct. … That said, I do believe that there is a substantial chance that the state polls are a biased prediction of where […] Read more »
Planning Your Election Party
Planning Your Election Party: Brian McFadden, The Strip (New York Times) Read more »
A Campaign Map, Morphed By Money
Campaign reporters spend a lot of time pointing at color-coded electoral maps like the one below, showing which states voted for Republican John McCain (in red) and Democrat Barack Obama (in blue) in 2008. But these maps lie — visually speaking. [cont.] Adam Cole, NPR Read more »