The 2012 presidential campaign was a frustrating experience for many voters, who say the campaign was more negative than usual and had less discussion of issues than in most previous campaigns. … Similarly, voters do not have a particularly rosy outlook on national politics going forward. [cont.] Pew Read more »
Elections at Every Level Show Ever-Starker Divides
… In these uniquely partisan times, the vast majority of Americans are closely aligned with — if not necessarily willing to label themselves as members of — one party or the other. And voting trends suggest that we are both self-segregating, living in ideologically like-minded clusters, and becoming set in our […] Read more »
Statistics win in US election
… For at least the past three election cycles, some bloggers have predicted the winner of the presidential election in each state with an accuracy that seemed to border on wizardry. Their secret? Aggregating dozens of national and state polls conducted throughout the election campaign, and applying statistics. Much attention […] Read more »
Some Takeaways From a Wild Election
… Here are 12 takeaways from the 2012 election, presented in bite-sized pieces. [cont.] Center for Politics, U. of Virginia Read more »
Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida
Identified as a “Latino Influence” state due to having a large and growing Latino electorate with an otherwise competitive electorate, Florida’s prized electoral voters hinged largely on how Latinos would vote in 2012. In the weeks immediately before the 2012 election, there was a great deal of speculation about whether […] Read more »
Why The Signal won the election forecasting game
There are two questions to ask when evaluating a political prediction, whether it’s from Nate Silver, a pollster, an academic or your favorite Yahoo News predictions blog: A) How useful was the prediction the day before the election? B) How useful was the prediction the day after the election? [cont.] […] Read more »