Here’s a rule of thumb for campaigns: When they have to start telling supporters not to worry, it’s probably time to start worrying. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s top pollster Neil Newhouse issued an unusual early morning memo on Monday assuring Republicans that the campaign remains on track to win […] Read more »
Do Presidential Debates Really Matter?
… That presidential debates can be “game changers” is a belief almost universally held by political pundits and strategists. Political scientists, however, aren’t so sure. Indeed, scholars who have looked most carefully at the data have found that, when it comes to shifting enough votes to decide the outcome of […] Read more »
Democratic Convention Highlights: Clinton Outshines Obama
Like Mitt Romney, Barack Obama was not the highlight of his party’s convention. Among those who watched at least a little coverage of the Democratic convention, 29% say the highlight was Bill Clinton’s speech, while 16% name Obama’s speech as the highlight. About as many (15%) say that first lady […] Read more »
Obama up six points over Romney
A new survey indicates President Barack Obama moved up four points following the Democratic National Convention last week, and now has a six point advantage over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney. … “The Democratic convention was fairly well received, particularly in comparison to the GOP meeting the previous week in […] Read more »
Romney pollster: Don’t get too worked up about the latest polling
Don’t get too worked up about the latest polling. While some voters will feel a bit of a sugar-high from the conventions, the basic structure of the race has not changed significantly. The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as the ultimate downfall of the Obama Presidency, and […] Read more »
Democratic Convention Rated Slightly Better Than GOP Convention
Forty-three percent of Americans say what they saw at last week’s Democratic Convention makes them more likely to vote for Barack Obama — typical of what Gallup has measured for most conventions — and slightly better than the 40% reading for Mitt Romney and the recent Republican Convention. [cont.] Jeffrey […] Read more »