The government’s monthly jobs report has become Washington’s most anticipated and studied economic indicator, pounced upon by politicians, economists and journalists for snap judgments as the presidential election nears. But in the real world, most everybody else just looks around and figures things out for themselves. … “People are not […] Read more »
Will Obama win in November? Wide gap between preference and prediction.
National polling suggests that the American public is deeply divided about who it wants to be the next president of the United States. … But, if the pool of likely voters is almost evenly split on who should occupy 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in January, they are far less indecisive on […] Read more »
Romney’s Tax Cuts May Be a Hard Sell With Voters
In U.S. national politics, Republicans flourish when the focus is on tax cuts; they suffer when Medicare is the focus. It looks like it’ll be different this year. Mitt Romney has proposed huge tax cuts that principally benefit the wealthy, while refusing to say how he’d pay for them by […] Read more »
The ten most endangered incumbents of 2012
We’re likely to see a considerable amount of turnover on Capitol Hill this November because of redistricting and retirement. But unlike the anti-Democratic wave of 2010, the current election cycle does not appear to be a particularly risky year for incumbents of either party. … Here is a rundown on […] Read more »
Challenged on Medicare, G.O.P. Loses Ground
… The latest New York Times/CBS News poll, conducted over the last week, found that Mr. Obama held an advantage over Mr. Romney on the question of who would do a better job of handling Medicare. That is consistent with other recent polls and is a shift from just last […] Read more »
For Romney, it’s time to make his case
Romney advisers look at the state of the country — the unemployment rate, the dissatisfaction with the pace of the recovery, the suffering among those who have been out of work for a year or more, the opposition to Obama’s health-care plan, the lack of progress reducing the deficit — […] Read more »