Will Obama win in November? Wide gap between preference and prediction.

National polling suggests that the American public is deeply divided about who it wants to be the next president of the United States. …

But, if the pool of likely voters is almost evenly split on who should occupy 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in January, they are far less indecisive on who they think will be the next president. [cont.]

Chris Cillizza, Washington Post

Poll data:

If the election were being held today, for whom would you vote?

Who do you think will win the election?