By the end of this week, we should have a better idea of the true degree that Mitt Romney’s strong–and President Obama’s weak–debate performance had on this contest. … Romney desperately needed a break, something to change the trajectory of this race, and clearly he got one in the debate. […] Read more »
Romney 49%, Obama 47% Among Likely Voters
Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama — 49% to 47% — in Gallup’s initial “likely voter” estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt the opposite way among registered voters, 49% vs. 46% in Obama’s favor. Neither result provides a candidate with a statistically significant lead, but […] Read more »
TEMPO: Did the debate give Romney a bump?
TEMPO Research Team at Temple Fox School Both Obama and Romney received a TEMPO bump from the presidential debate on October 3, but that effect quickly dissipated in a few days. [TEMPO is an index that measures the influence of candidates in social, print, and broadcast media.] As of October […] Read more »
Democratic pollster delivers wake up call to Obama
Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg is not known for flinching from delivering bad news to Democratic politicians, and his new diagnosis of Obama’s slippage in the polls is no exception. Greenberg told me in an interview that his new research persuaded him that Mitt Romney beat Obama in the debate for […] Read more »
Partisans line up behind their candidates as election nears
Partisans are falling in line as the election draws closer, with Democrats expressing more positive views of President Obama and Republicans more “strongly favorable” toward Mitt Romney than at any point in the campaign, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. [cont.] Jon Cohen & Peyton M. Craighill, Washington […] Read more »
Few signs of a tidal wave around nation
In the past six years, there have been three national elections, each of them producing a wave, in which races up and down the ballot moved in generally the same direction. Democrats won big in 2006 and 2008, only to see those gains reversed in the mid-term election of 2010. […] Read more »