Thursday night, Paul Ryan and Joe Biden will engage in rhetorical combat. To political junkies and poll-watchers, it seems like there is a lot riding on the outcome of this particular vice presidential debate. Hopes are high among supporters of both tickets, but what kind of impact can we reasonably […] Read more »
NBC/WSJ/Marist poll: Romney gains in key swing states
A week after President Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance, Republican challenger Mitt Romney has made some gains in three key swing states among those most likely to vote, according to the latest round of NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. Romney and Obama remain in a virtual tie in Virginia and […] Read more »
Mitt Romney’s comeback: Back where we began
… It is fair to say that the outcome of the debate defied conventional wisdom. Indeed, drawing on political-science research, most journalists had confidently predicted that the first presidential debate would have a minimal polling impact. What went wrong? Part of the answer, of course, is that Mr Romney was […] Read more »
Romney erases Obama’s lead nationally after first debate
Mitt Romney now holds a narrow advantage over Barack Obama in the race for the White House — 46 percent to 45 percent, if the election were held today, according to a Fox News national poll of likely voters released Wednesday. That’s a six-point turnaround and a three-point “debate bounce” […] Read more »
Swing-State Married Moms Trust Romney on Economy, Obama on Women
Married mothers in two competitive presidential states rate Republican nominee Mitt Romney better at dealing with the nation’s economic challenges than President Barack Obama, even as they side with the incumbent on reproductive rights and say he best understands their problems and struggles. A Bloomberg News Swing Voter poll in […] Read more »
Why Arizona may be the surpise of 2012 – the big Latino vote that you didn’t see coming
… New polling data out of Arizona released by America’s Voice and Latino Decisions suggests Arizona may be much closer than the polling averages indicate. A full 80% of Latinos say they plan to vote for Obama, compared to just 14% for Romney, and Latino enthusiasm is much, much higher […] Read more »