No Consensus on Voting Rights vs. Filibuster

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Would the country be better or worse off if Donald Trump beat Joe Biden in 2020? The nation is evenly divided on this hypothetical question, according to the Monmouth University Poll. Moreover, about 1 in 8 Americans believe both that Biden’s victory was only due to fraud and that there is still a path to overturn those results and reinstate Trump in the Oval Office. The poll finds broad support, at least in the abstract, for measures that would standardize processes around both election integrity and voting access. However, support for those actions run up against mixed opinion of processes like the filibuster, producing some inconsistencies in overall public attitudes. CONTINUED

Monmouth University Polling Institute

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Confidence Declines in CDC and Dr. Anthony Fauci

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Battered by waves of Covid-19 and confusion over shifting government messages about it, Americans’ confidence in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) declined in January with drops both among groups of Democrats/Democratic-leaning independents and Republicans/Republican-leaning independents, according to January survey data from the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania. …

In addition, the survey found for the first time a significant drop in confidence in Dr. Anthony Fauci, who as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) has been the target of withering attacks in conservative media outlets throughout the nearly two-year pandemic. …

As past waves of the survey have found, people who are heavier users of conservative and very conservative media have significantly less confidence in Fauci, the CDC, and the FDA, both when compared with the overall sample and with heavier users of other types of media. CONTINUED

Annenberg Public Policy Center

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Justice Breyer data from U.S. Supreme Court surveys, 2019-22

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Even to the day it was reported that Justice Stephen Breyer is retiring from the U.S. Supreme Court, he consistently ranked as the justice whom the fewest Americans know.

In results released on Wednesday, Jan. 26, before word of Breyer’s plans circulated, the Marquette Law School Poll’s Supreme Court Survey found that only 21% of people nationwide said they knew enough about Breyer to have an opinion about him.

But, Breyer’s impending departure from the Court puts on the front burner the nomination and confirmation process for members of the Court, and the Marquette Law Poll surveys provide insight into public opinion about how those steps have been handled in recent years. CONTINUED

Charles Franklin, Marquette Law School Poll

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Poll finds Trump and DeSantis drawing similar support, but each trailing Biden in possible 2024 matchups

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A Marquette Law School Poll survey of adults nationwide finds that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump run equally well against Democratic President Joe Biden in hypothetical 2024 matchups, although Biden leads both Republicans.

In a head-to-head matchup, DeSantis is supported by 33%, while Biden is supported by 41%. A substantial 18% say they would support someone else, and 8% say they would not vote. In a Trump versus Biden rematch, Trump receives 33% to Biden’s 43%, with 16% preferring someone else and 6% saying they would not vote. CONTINUED

Charles Franklin, Marquette Law School Poll

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Will virus be ‘over’? Most Americans think not

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… A poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research shows that few — just 15% — say they’ll consider the pandemic over only when COVID-19 is largely eliminated. By contrast, 83% say they’ll feel the pandemic is over when it’s largely a mild illness.

The poll shows that 59% of Americans think it’s essential that they personally be vaccinated against COVID-19 to feel safe participating in public activities. But, underscoring what authorities call alarmingly low COVID-19 vaccination rates in U.S. children ages 5 to 11, just 37% of parents consider it essential that their children are vaccinated before they return to normal. CONTINUED

Kate Brumback, Nathan Ellgren & Jocelyn Noveck, Associated Press

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Politico-Harvard poll: Big domestic spending bills seen as stoking inflation

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Democrats trying to salvage parts of the Biden social spending agenda will find a limited number of issues that resonate with voters heading into the midterm elections, according to a POLITICO-Harvard survey that shows significant concern over whether big-ticket items could lead to more inflation.

Respondents think free universal pre-K, paid family and medical leave and efforts to lower prescription drug prices would help their families and the country as a whole. But only about one in three believe President Joe Biden’s entire Build Back Better Act would help the country, and less than one in four believe it will help their own families. CONTINUED

Adriel Bettelheim, Politico

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