Why Nevada will tell the story of the 2022 election

· Leave a Comment

… When people tick off the most competitive states on this year’s Senate map, their selections would probably include states like Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Most race rating experts will also list Nevada, even if it is not top of mind.

Indeed, none of the Democrats holding federal office in the Silver State should feel safe about their reelection prospects this year. This includes the three Democrats in the House and Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto. The incumbent Democratic governor, Steve Sisolak, faces a tough race as well.

That might not be what you’d expect in a state that has gone Democratic in the last four presidential elections, but there are troubling trends for the party underneath the surface. CONTINUED

Harry Enten, CNN

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Fear, uncertainty and apathy: Covid infections rise but hospitalizations remain low

· Leave a Comment

The Covid-19 pandemic that has shaken the world for the past two years has entered a new phase, one driven by a combination of fear, apathy and uncertainty. In some parts of the country, masks have become a rare sight and the assumption is the pandemic is over. But in other places masking is back, as concerns rise about a new variant and the potential for another spike in cases. CONTINUED

Dante Chinni, NBC News

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Americans Support Ukraine—but Not with US Troops or a No-Fly Zone

· Leave a Comment

In response to Russia’s aggression toward Ukraine, the United States and its allies have imposed sanctions on Russia that are striking in their scope and severity and represent a broad effort to impose serious economic costs on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine. For their part, a March 25-28 Chicago Council survey finds that Americans support all measures to help Ukraine and pressure Russia short of direct US involvement in a military conflict. CONTINUED

Dina Smeltz & Craig Kafura, Chicago Council on Global Affairs

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Biden’s pollster on the recipe for how to ‘not get our a—- kicked’ in the midterms

· Leave a Comment

In the coming weeks and months, the Playbook team will be out covering the key districts and states that will decide the outcome of the midterm elections. This week, co-author Ryan Lizza was in Las Vegas to interview John Anzalone, who is best known as President Joe Biden’s pollster, but who is also a top adviser to Gov. Steve Sisolak, who is up for reelection this year. In Nevada, two of the Democrats’ biggest political challenges collide: Democrats’ Hispanic voter problem is their working-class voter problem.

Politico

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Californians’ economic well-being in decline

· Leave a Comment

As Californians confront Tax Day, April 15 the latest Berkeley IGS Poll finds that about two in three voters (64%) consider the federal and state income taxes that they and their family have to pay are too high. This represents a ten percentage-point increase in the proportion of voters who said this six years ago, the last time a comparable question about income taxes was included in a statewide voter poll.

Contributing to the growing perception that income taxes are too high is the fact that many Californians report that their economic fortunes have declined over the past year. The poll finds twice as many voters now describing themselves as financially worse off than a year ago (42%) as report being better off (21%). CONTINUED

Mark DiCamillo, Berkeley IGS Poll

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

All things inflation

· Leave a Comment

Inflation keeps ticking upwards, hitting 8.5.% in March, the highest it’s been in 40 years. Wages might be rising, but the gains are largely canceled out by inflationary pressures.

At the same time, people aren’t experiencing inflation the same way. Less affluent Americans are more likely to put their money towards the basics, with little buffer after inflation.

Below, we look at how inflation is affecting Americans’ spending habits, and implications for the current administration. CONTINUED

Clifford Young & Catherine Morris, Ipsos

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack