Ipsos Core Political: President Biden’s lowest approval rating yet

This week’s Ipsos’ Core Political has President Joe Biden with his lowest approval rating yet (36%) as the majority of Americans (70%) believe the country is off on the wrong track.

Seven in 10 (70%) Americans believe things in this country are off on the wrong track, while only one-fifth (20%) of Americans believe they are headed in the right direction. This represents a six-point drop from a couple of weeks ago when 26% of Americans thought they were headed in the right direction. …

Only 36% of Americans approve of his performance in office, a six-point drop from last week (42%). CONTINUED

Ipsos


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We Can’t Even Agree on What Is Tearing Us Apart

Today, even scholars of polarization are polarized. This was not always the case.

In 1964, Philip Converse of the University of Michigan wrote a groundbreaking paper, “The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics,” that attempted to determine the size of the share of the electorate that could reasonably be described as having a consistent set of political convictions. …

At the time he was writing, Converse noted, only 3.5 percent of voters could be described as “ideologues,” 12 percent as “near ideologues,” and the remaining 84.5 percent cast their ballots on the basis of whether their group would benefit, the state of the economy or, in Converse’s words, “no issue content.”

Now, nearly six decades later, the issue is not the lack of an ideological and partisan electorate but the dominance of polarized elected officials and voters, some driven by conviction, others by a visceral dislike of the opposition, and still others by both.

This turbulence has proved to be a gold mine for scholars seeking to find order in the disorder. CONTINUED

Thomas B. Edsall, New York Times


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The Real Reason America Doesn’t Have Gun Control

After each of the repeated mass shootings that now provide a tragic backbeat to American life, the same doomed dance of legislation quickly begins. As the outraged demands for action are inevitably derailed in Congress, disappointed gun-control advocates, and perplexed ordinary citizens, point their fingers at the influence of the National Rifle Association or the intransigent opposition of congressional Republicans. Those are both legitimate factors, but the stalemate over gun-control legislation since Bill Clinton’s first presidential term ultimately rests on a much deeper problem: the growing crisis of majority rule in American politics.

Polls are clear that while Americans don’t believe gun control would solve all of the problems associated with gun violence, a commanding majority supports the central priorities of gun-control advocates, including universal background checks and an assault-weapons ban. Yet despite this overwhelming consensus, it’s highly unlikely that the massacre of at least 19 schoolchildren and two adults in Uvalde, Texas, yesterday, or President Joe Biden’s emotional plea for action last night, will result in legislative action.

That’s because gun control is one of many issues in which majority opinion in the nation runs into the brick wall of a Senate rule—the filibuster—that provides a veto over national policy to a minority of the states, most of them small, largely rural, preponderantly white, and dominated by Republicans. CONTINUED

Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic


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Partisan splits remain on gun laws

A recent CBS News poll found 54% of Americans want laws covering the sale of guns made more strict. Thirty percent said gun laws should be kept as they are, and 16% want them to be less strict.

The poll was conducted after the mass shooting in Buffalo, New York, nine days ago and before the mass shooting at an elementary school in Uvalde, Texas, Monday. CONTINUED

Jennifer De Pinto, CBS News


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Sharp downturn in overall approval of Supreme Court; opinion on Roe v. Wade has not changed

A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds approval of the U.S. Supreme Court has taken a sharp turn down, falling to 44%, with 55% disapproving of how the Court is handling its job. In March, 54% approved and 45% disapproved. Approval of the Court stood at 66% in September 2020, when 33% disapproved. As recently as July 2021, the Court had a 60% approval rating. …

The sharp decline in approval in May reflects a drop of 23 percentage points among Democrats and a 6-point fall among independents, while approval rose by 4 percentage points among Republicans. Compared to the results in March, approval of the Court is more sharply polarized along party lines than it was two months ago. There was a 42-percentage point gap in approval between Republicans and Democrats in May, compared to a gap of 15 points in March. …

Opinion on overturning Roe v. Wade has not changed in the wake of the leaked draft opinion. Among those with an opinion on the issue, 31% favor overturning Roe, while 69% oppose striking it down, hardly changed since March when 32% were in favor and 68% were opposed. CONTINUED

Marquette Law School Poll


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3 reasons Trump’s influence took a big hit in Tuesday’s primaries

You’d be hard-pressed to find two Republican incumbents who drew more of former President Donald Trump’s ire than Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp and Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. But both won by huge margins in their primaries Tuesday against handpicked, Trump-recruited challengers who campaigned on his election lies. …

In the end, Trump’s candidates in Georgia largely flailed — though his pick for Georgia U.S. Senate, Herschel Walker, easily won his primary, and some other allies won elsewhere, like his former press secretary, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who is likely to be the next governor of Arkansas.

But what happened with Kemp and Raffensperger in Georgia? Here are three theories: CONTINUED

Domenico Montanaro, NPR News


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