How the midterms changed the 2024 primaries for Biden and Trump

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Much of the conversation in the leadup to the midterms revolved around how Republicans were clamoring for former President Donald Trump’s endorsement, while Democrats wanted President Joe Biden to stay away. A little over a month after the election, however, the picture looks quite different.

Biden is in his best position in a while to win the Democratic presidential nomination in 2024. Trump, on the other hand, finds his position among Republicans not only weakened by the midterm results, but he actually trails in a number of polls to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a potential GOP primary. CONTINUED

Harry Enten, CNN

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More Than 4 in 10 Republicans and a Third of Parents Now Oppose Schools Requiring Children to Get Vaccinated for Measles and Other Illness

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Amid controversies around the COVID-19 vaccine and growing distrust of public health authorities, more than four in ten Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, and a third of parents, now say they oppose requiring children in public schools to receive some childhood vaccines, up since 2019, a new KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor survey finds.

Overall, nearly three in ten adults (28%) nationally now say that parents should be able to decide not to vaccinate their children for measles, mumps, and rubella rather than those vaccinations being required to attend public schools, up from 16% in a 2019 Pew Research Center poll conducted before the COVID-19 pandemic. Among parents, opposition to requiring those childhood vaccines now stands at 35%, up from 23% in 2019. CONTINUED

Kaiser Family Foundation

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DeSantis, Trump dominate early 2024 preferences

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Small government, America First, liberty and freedom, religious values, personal responsibility. These are just some of the ways Republican voters describe what it means to be a good Republican in the latest Monmouth University Poll. While few voters specifically mention abortion when asked to describe the Republican ideal, it is one of the top issues that GOP voters point to as a dividing line on whether one can be called a good Republican. Interestingly, one third of Republican voters maintain that you have to deny the legitimacy of President Joe Biden’s election in order to be considered a good Republican. The poll also asks about preferences for the GOP presidential nominee in 2024. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump lead the field, although few would support an independent candidacy by Trump if he did not get the party’s nod. CONTINUED

Monmouth University Polling Institute

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Fox News Poll: Americans show little enthusiasm for a Biden-Trump rematch in 2024

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After a heated midterm election, widely considered both a referendum on President Biden and a test for former President Donald Trump’s 2024 candidacy, the latest Fox News Poll finds little support for a rematch in the next presidential election.

The survey of registered voters, released Thursday, finds almost two-thirds (64%) do not want President Biden to run for office again in 2024, while a third say they do (33%). …

Trump announced his 2024 White House bid on Nov. 16, and he does slightly better than Biden among voters overall when it comes to entering the race: 39% say they are happy Trump is running again, while six-in-10 are not enthused (58%). CONTINUED

Victoria Balara, Fox News

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Fox News Poll: Bipartisan support for investigating Hunter Biden

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Voters across the political spectrum believe it is important for the Justice Department to investigate Hunter Biden’s business dealings with foreign governments. Recent revelations about social media companies tamping down the story in the run-up to the 2020 election have not changed voters’ opinions — just as many feel it is important to investigate Hunter Biden now as they did this past August. …

Voters see a host of problems with social media. Two-thirds (66%) think disinformation posted by users is a major issue. Six-in-10 feel the same about hate speech from users (62%) and political bias from the companies themselves (60%). Half view cancel culture by users (53%) and censorship from companies (50%) as major problems. CONTINUED

Fox News

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New poll shows slight thaw for Biden approval, resilient support for Trump

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Once Republicans reclaim House control in January, the U.S. will again be under a divided government, and according to the latest PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll, a majority of Americans have no confidence that lawmakers will be willing to work together to solve the nation’s complex problems. That’s despite the fact that most of the American public support them working toward compromise instead of partisan gridlock. …

Public opinion around Biden’s job performance may have shifted slightly in the last few weeks. Overall, 43 percent of Americans say they approve of his work so far. That’s a statistically insignificant nudge of one percentage point from last month, but look more closely and there are other signs of a thaw. CONTINUED

Laura Santhanam, PBS NewsHour

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