Two-thirds oppose banning medication abortion

Strong majorities of Americans oppose laws banning medication abortion, disagree with judges overturning Food and Drug Administration approval of prescription drugs, don’t have much confidence in the Supreme Court and don’t think justices should serve lifetime appointments, according to the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released Monday. …

A lower court decision to nullify FDA approval of mifepristone is woefully out of step with public opinion, according to the NPR poll. By a 64%-to-35% margin, respondents in the survey of 1,291 adults said they oppose laws banning access to medication abortion. The poll was conducted April 17 to 19, before the Supreme Court’s decision, and has a +/- 3.4 percentage point margin of error.

A majority (55%) of Republicans also oppose those types of laws, complicating GOP politics, which has struggled to figure out how to message around abortion — in a unified way — since the Dobbs ruling. CONTINUED

Domenico Montanaro, NPR News


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The enormous numbers behind DeSantis’ fight with Disney

In a world where politicians often fight to win big employers and keep them happy, it’s both unique and odd for a sitting Republican governor to go to war with a business crucial to his state’s economic well-being … on the eve of a potential presidential campaign. The feud between Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Walt Disney Co. took a strange turn last week when DeSantis mused about putting a prison near the company’s Orlando-area theme park complex to punish it for its allegedly “woke” policies.

It was the latest volley in a battle that goes back to the company’s criticizing DeSantis’ Parental Rights in Education Bill, dubbed the “Don’t Say Gay Bill” by opponents. The rhetorical back-and-forth has become a political sideshow, with neither side wanting to give an inch. From attracting visitors to filling tax coffers, it’s hard to overstate Disney’s impact on the Florida economy — which is a centerpiece of DeSantis’ political story. CONTINUED

Dante Chinni, NBC News


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Gun Violence Is Actually Worse in Red States. It’s Not Even Close.

Listen to the southern right talk about violence in America and you’d think New York City was as dangerous as Bakhmut on Ukraine’s eastern front. …

In reality, the region the Big Apple comprises most of is far and away the safest part of the U.S. mainland when it comes to gun violence, while the regions Florida and Texas belong to have per capita firearm death rates (homicides and suicides) three to four times higher than New York’s. On a regional basis it’s the southern swath of the country — in cities and rural areas alike — where the rate of deadly gun violence is most acute, regions where Republicans have dominated state governments for decades. …

The reasons for these disparities go beyond modern policy differences and extend back to events that predate not only the American party system but the advent of shotguns, revolvers, ammunition cartridges, breach-loaded rifles and the American republic itself. The geography of gun violence — and public and elite ideas about how it should be addressed — is the result of differences at once regional, cultural and historical. Once you understand how the country was colonized — and by whom — a number of insights into the problem are revealed. CONTINUED

Colin Woodard, Politico Magazine


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Will there be a Millennial Big Chill?

Jean Twenge is rapidly becoming one of America’s most interesting public intellectuals. The San Diego State psychologist has been the most forceful proponent of the theory that teen unhappiness is due to smartphone-empowered social media, and she’s written a book on the differences between generations. Now she’s provided a powerful counterargument to one of the most widespread and enduring economic tropes in our public discourse — the idea that the Millennial generation has been uniquely disadvantaged by the American economy. …

Twenge shows that although Millennials’ incomes took a huge hit during the Great Recession, they’ve since recovered, and are now considerably higher than that of any previous generation at a similar age. …

An interesting question, however, is whether they will socially resemble the earlier generations. The new socialist movement and various “woke” movements have given Millennials a reputation as a rebel generation. But the Boomers were similarly stereotyped back in the 60s and 70s. And we know what happened there — they settled down, made some money, had some kids, and chilled out. CONTINUED

Noah Smith, Noahpinion


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Republicans: Your problem with youth isn’t what you think it is

Unlike any time I recall in the 20-plus years I have studied the youth vote, elements within both parties recognize that Gen Z and young millennials are a political force. Democrats know they cannot build a winning coalition without optimizing the youth vote; Republicans are warming to the idea they cannot reclaim the presidency without competing for it. …

The problem Republicans have with young people is not messaging, though — it’s a fundamental misalignment in values and a lack of authentic, ethical, and trusted messengers who speak to the concerns of most Gen Zers.

To test this theory, my colleagues and I at SocialSphere conducted a survey in concert with the release of the paperback edition of FIGHT: How Gen Z is Channeling Their Fear and Passion to Save America. We identified three core issues that account for a large portion of the gaping Gen Z – Republican divide these days. CONTINUED

John Della Volpe, JDV on Gen Z


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Biden vs. Trump: Big challenges, but opposite ones, as 2024 rematch begins – Poll

Joe Biden and Donald Trump each face significant challenges in a potential rematch for the White House in 2024, a new USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll finds – but opposite ones.

For President Biden, expected to launch his reelection bid Tuesday, his standing among the voters who backed him in 2020 is wide but shallow, at risk of being eroded by a credible Democratic challenger for the nomination or a third-party candidate in the fall.

For former President Trump, support among his 2020 voters is deep but narrow, reinforced by controversies that are all but guaranteed to make it harder for him to expand his support in the general election. CONTINUED

Susan Page & Rachel Looker, USA Today


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