Black turnout dropped sharply in 2022 midterms, Census survey finds

Turnout in last year’s midterm elections fell from a century-high point of 50 percent in 2018 to 46.6 percent in 2022, and census data released Tuesday suggest the drop was concentrated among Black voters, younger voters and college graduates.

Black voter turnout dropped by nearly 10 percentage points, from 51.7 percent in 2018 to 42 percent in 2022, according to a Washington Post analysis of the Census Bureau’s turnout survey. CONTINUED

Scott Clement & Lenny Bronner, Washington Post


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More green investment hasn’t softened red resistance on climate

Even as billions of dollars in new clean energy investments surge into Republican leaning communities around the country, state and federal GOP officials are hardening their resistance to efforts to reduce the nation’s reliance on fossil fuels.

That stark contrast has dashed a central hope and expectation among environmentalists: the belief that more economic opportunity in red places would mean less political opposition from Republicans to the transition toward a clean energy economy that scientists say is necessary to reduce the risk of catastrophic global climate change. The persistence of GOP opposition to that transition underscores the limits of economic incentives to overcome ideological inclinations – and points toward years of pitched partisan conflict that could make it virtually impossible for the US to set a consistent course on climate policy. …

With growing boldness, Republicans and conservative activists are framing defense of fossil fuels and skepticism of clean energy alternatives as a form of culture war – with the transition to wind, solar and electric vehicles taking its place alongside transgender rights, “woke” indoctrination in the classroom or restrictions on gun ownership as an example of “coastal elites” trying to erase traditional American values. CONTINUED

Ronald Brownstein, CNN


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Long shots for president? How about no shots

The political world is aflutter with recent polling showing voters of all partisan stripes saying President Joe Biden should not run again. He is too old, asserted observers who have been making the same argument for months.

Polls also showed — and this may knock you off your seat — that most voters definitely don’t want a Biden versus Donald Trump presidential rematch next year. Gasp! …

Yes, voters think another Biden versus Trump race is unappealing, which is why early polls show some long shots drawing support. It’s an easy way for voters to show their dissatisfaction with a possible repeat of 2020. But that doesn’t mean lasting support for the likes of Williamson and Kennedy. CONTINUED

Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call


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Fox News Poll: More see bad than good in AI

While 76% of voters want the federal government to regulate artificial intelligence technology, a new Fox News survey finds that only 39% think Uncle Sam is up to the job. In a broader sense, more voters think AI is generally a bad thing, but the view is more positive among those who are familiar with the technology.

By an 8-point margin, voters overall are more likely to believe AI is a bad thing for society than a good thing. However, those familiar with AI are more likely to say it’s a good thing by a 6-point margin. CONTINUED

Dana Blanton, Fox News


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Assessing the news media: trust, coverage, and threats to a free press

Although trust in the news media remains low, the public is nevertheless worried about a variety of problems threatening a free press in the United States and around the world. Ahead of World Press Freedom Day, findings from this spring 2023 survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research and Robert F. Kennedy Human Rights reveal concerns about attacks on journalists, restrictions on press freedoms, and the spread of misinformation.

Overall, 44% of adults polled believe the U.S. government is doing a good job protecting the freedom of the press in this country, and 42% say the same about freedom of speech. About three-quarters of adults view the political preferences of news organization owners as having a major influence on the news media in the United States. Most Americans are also at least somewhat concerned about direct threats to the press, including about one-third who are extremely or very concerned about attacks on journalists. CONTINUED

AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research


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CBS News poll on how 2024 GOP presidential primary race could be Donald Trump v. Trump fatigue

To the extent the Republican primary is a contest at all right now, it looks like it’s one between Donald Trump and a sentiment one might call “Trump fatigue.” And Trump is winning that matchup easily.

Here’s why: MAGA-sounding ideas are widely held in the Republican electorate, an environment that plays heavily to Trump’s advantage.

There’s big demand for a candidate who says Trump won in 2020, who challenges woke ideas, who doesn’t criticize Trump and, for good measure, makes liberals angry. Trump leads in all of these areas. Meanwhile there are some GOPers who say they’re “exhausted” by Trump, and that he’s too controversial, but they are greatly outnumbered today. CONTINUED

CBS News


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