Less than six months ago — April, to be specific — Democrats were wringing their hands about the party’s prospects in November and Republicans were counting their chickens before their midterm eggs had hatched. … Long-term historical trends, combined with Biden’s standing in national polls, the enthusiasm gap and the […] Read more »
Democratic midterm message outperforms GOP’s message, NBC News poll finds
Beyond congressional preference, President Biden’s job rating and how the two parties fare on key issues, the new NBC News poll also tested the main Democratic vs. Republican midterm messages. And the poll found more voters preferring the Democratic message over the GOP message — without using either Biden’s name, […] Read more »
Modest Declines in Positive Views of ‘Socialism’ and ‘Capitalism’ in U.S.
The American public continues to express more positive opinions of “capitalism” than “socialism,” although the shares viewing each of the terms positively have declined modestly since 2019. Today, 36% of U.S. adults say they view socialism somewhat (30%) or very (6%) positively, down from 42% who viewed the term positively […] Read more »
This little-known election predictor should worry Democrats
As early voting begins around the country, every political data point would appear to marginally favor the Democrats. Polls suggest they lead ever so slightly in key Senate races and in national House polls. Their candidates are raking in cash, while Republicans struggle financially. And in special elections following the […] Read more »
Are the Polls Giving Dems False Hope Again?
… Polling is the lifeblood of politics. It drives press coverage and campaign decision-making. But what if polling is fundamentally broken? What if we are viewing politics through a fun house mirror? … Is the recent burst of Democratic optimism another case of inaccurate poll-fueled naivete? No. While polls may […] Read more »
Why high inflation doesn’t seem to be hurting Democrats
… Every month, Gallup publishes data on what Americans say is the most important problem facing the country. It’s an open-ended question (meaning respondents can say anything they want), and they’re allowed to give more than one answer. In August, 37% of adults said that an economic problem was most […] Read more »