The third-quarter CNBC All-America Economic Survey finds some modest improvements in economic attitudes and in President Joe Biden’s approval ratings across the country, but Americans still harbor mostly negative views on the economy and give the GOP double-digit leads on key economic and financial issues ahead of the November elections. […] Read more »
Who will decide this election?
I know exactly how to get you to stop reading right now: We’re going to do a little arithmetic! It’s simple, so I hope you’ll bear with me. Each cycle, pollsters and pundits alike seem to derive great pleasure from anointing some segment of the electorate as the decider of […] Read more »
How the Diploma Divide Is Remaking American Politics
… John F. Kennedy lost college-educated voters by a two-to-one margin yet won the presidency thanks to overwhelming support among white voters without a degree. Sixty years later, our second Catholic president charted a much different path to the White House, losing non-college-educated whites by a two-to-one margin while securing […] Read more »
Has Polling Broken Politics?
… On today’s episode, Jane Coaston brings together two experts to diagnose what we’re getting wrong in both how we conduct polls, and how we interpret the data they give us. Margie Omero is a principal at the Democratic polling firm GBAO. Nate Silver, who prefers to call himself a […] Read more »
The 2022 election influencers
To really understand an election, you have to understand the motivations — and the lives — of the Americans voting in it. But too often our politics misses the point, and just describes people as demographic groups or party labels. We can do better. We’ve got the data for it: […] Read more »
Democrats want you thinking about abortion in the voting booth
Democrats are redoubling their efforts to keep abortion as a top issue in the midterms, as Republicans see signs voters may be shifting to concerns about the economy and crime in the home stretch. … Polls have consistently shown Democrats with an advantage over Republicans on abortion. But there have […] Read more »