America is holding its first coast-to-coast elections since the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol in 2021. That revolt, an attempt to stop the certification of the last presidential election, cost several lives. A lot is at stake. … The need to keep the other party out of government, no matter […] Read more »
If Democrats prevail during the midterms, TV advertising might have something to do with it
A vote sign appears at a campaign event for Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak and U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Mastro in Las Vegas on Nov. 1, 2022. Ronda Churchill/AFP via Getty Images John M. Sides, Vanderbilt University The neck-and-neck race for control of the U.S. Senate is particularly unwelcome news for […] Read more »
Final Forecast: The Senate And Most Of Its Key Races Are Toss-Ups
Just about no part of the 2022 midterms is more uncertain than the race for control of the U.S. Senate. The chamber is split 50-50 between Democrats and Republicans,1 but Democrats hold a precarious majority via the tie-breaking vote of Vice President Kamala Harris. As a result, a one-seat gain […] Read more »
Final Forecast: Republicans Are Favored To Win The House
Election Day is finally upon us, and we’re “right back where we started from,” to borrow a phrase from Maxine Nightingale. FiveThirtyEight’s Deluxe forecast for the U.S. House, which is now final and no longer updating, estimates that Republicans have an 84-in-100 chance of taking control of the chamber. That’s […] Read more »
Pollsters sweat another Election Day reckoning
It wouldn’t be election eve if pollsters weren’t nervous. At a base level, the final surveys in the states that will determine which party controls the Senate next year fall into two camps. Polls from Republican-affiliated firms point to a GOP victory — and perhaps even a romp through some […] Read more »
Biden Approval Rating, Economy Weigh On Democrats’ Midterm Election Hopes
President Joe Biden’s approval rating remains deep underwater as Americans head to the polls Tuesday for a midterm election that may shift the balance of power in Congress, the November IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Biden’s job approval rating ticked up two-tenths of a point to 45.5 in the new IBD/TIPP Poll. […] Read more »