Since we’re starting 2024 election talk already, it’s worth discussing the current president as much as the former president. While President Biden has not yet formally announced his candidacy, he has said it is his intention to run. … Assuming he is running, Biden has some work to do in […] Read more »
Among Young Adults, Cigarette Smoking Rates Down Sharply, Marijuana Usage Increasing
As the percentage of U.S. adults who smoke cigarettes has reached a new low of 11% this year, much of the decline is tied to sharply lower smoking rates among young adults. From 2001 to 2003, an average of 35% of U.S. adults between the ages of 18 and 29 […] Read more »
What the data show about angry parents rocking the 2022 election
Angry parents of school-aged children were supposed to rock the gates of the establishment and send a message in the 2022 elections, at least according to the conservative narrative. “Woke” school curricula, extended COVID-19 restrictions in schools, and policies around transgender athletes were supposed to drive voters to the polls […] Read more »
In Praise of Skepticism: Trust but Verify
Keynote online lecture by Prof. Pippa Norris (Harvard University, USA) at the WAPOR 75th annual conference on November 11, 2022 in Dubai, UAE. World Association for Public Opinion Research The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
To understand the 2022 midterm vote, look at the state races
As soon as election results are in, analysts usually scramble to look for large-scale trends and lessons in the vote — but analyzing the 2022 vote is proving to be a complicated task. In some ways, it was a very uneven election. Was turnout up or down? Did the results […] Read more »
New state voter fraud units finding few cases from midterms
State-level law enforcement units created after the 2020 presidential election to investigate voter fraud are looking into scattered complaints more than two weeks after the midterms but have provided no indication of systemic problems. That’s just what election experts had expected and led critics to suggest that the new units […] Read more »