The big reason Trump leads the GOP field: Republicans think he won the 2020 election

The 2024 presidential election is on the horizon, but we just can’t seem to leave 2020 behind. Former President Donald Trump was indicted and arraigned this week on charges related to efforts to overturn that electoral outcome. At the same time, primary polls indicate that Trump and President Joe Biden are by far the most likely to represent their parties once more in next year’s general election.

Perhaps, then, it makes sense that arguably the No. 1 predictor of vote choice for the Republican nomination is whether voters view the 2020 election as legitimate.

It turns out that Trump’s ability to convince a large swath of the Republican base that Biden’s win was illegitimate is paying major dividends as he seeks the GOP nomination for a third time. CONTINUED

Harry Enten, CNN


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.