You might have missed it amid all the hubbub about former President Donald Trump’s indictment, but news broke this weekend that the organization No Labels is considering running a third party “moderate” candidate for president in 2024. …
What’s stunning to me about the No Labels bid is that they are basing a massive risk – a third party could help put Trump back in the White House if he is the Republican nominee by drawing votes from President Joe Biden – on a terrible misreading of their own polling data.
To be clear, I do not have their polls, I only have the published details they provided to The Washington Post. But I have worked on this problem before in various capacities, and I don’t see anything new in the No Labels pitch. Their argument has four points as articulated in The Post’s article. None survive close scrutiny. CONTINUED
Natalie Jackson, Herding Cats & Polls
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