Gold-standard polls got it right in 2022. Others did not

Over the New Year’s holiday weekend, the New York Times published a 4,000-word article noting how some political polls, as well as the polling aggregators, overstated Republicans’ strength in key midterm races, feeding the narrative of a coming “Red Wave” that never came to be.

But there’s a far simpler polling story from the 2022 midterms to tell: Gold-standard polls — those that conduct their surveys via cell phone interviews, have longstanding reputations and remain politically neutral — had a strong cycle.

It was the other polls — with more opaque methodologies and more partisan leanings — that didn’t fare as well. CONTINUED

Mark Murray, NBC News


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