Key Points
• Republicans won a slim House majority at least in part by winning more victories in districts that Joe Biden carried than Democrats did in districts carried by Donald Trump.
• There are currently slated to be 18 Republicans in Biden seats and just 5 Democrats in Trump seats.
• Democrats used to win more crossover districts, but Republicans have now won more in 6 of the last 7 elections as the overall number of crossover districts has generally declined.
• It is common for the opposition party in Congress to add to their roster of crossover districts in a midterm, and that’s exactly what happened in 2022, despite Republicans having a disappointing election overall. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Crossover House districts, 2000-2022
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