To understand the 2022 midterm vote, look at the state races

As soon as election results are in, analysts usually scramble to look for large-scale trends and lessons in the vote — but analyzing the 2022 vote is proving to be a complicated task. In some ways, it was a very uneven election.

Was turnout up or down? Did the results follow long-term trends or not? The answer was yes, or perhaps more correctly, it depends.

Democrats had a good Election Night in 2022. They held the Senate, came close to holding the House and did well in important gubernatorial races. But the results did not seem to provide definitive answers on what message the national electorate was sending. At the state level, the turnout data offer some clues. CONTINUED

Dante Chinni, NBC News


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