The Accurate Election Polls That No One Believed

… What is clear is that the polls, such as they were, provided a decent view of what was happening in most of the Senate and gubernatorial races. (The House numbers are still incomplete, but the national outcome also seems on track with what the polls predicted.) A week ago, if you had been looking solely at polls and given less thought to the general political environment—a shaky economy, an angry populace, an unpopular President leading his party through his first midterm—you would have come away with a better picture of what happened on Tuesday. … Whether the polls being more accurate than the “vibes” is comforting or scary depends on how you felt about polls to begin with. CONTINUED

Isaac Chotiner, The New Yorker


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