A diagram of the direction of the 2022 campaign would look like a zigzag. Democrats faced near gale-force headwinds into June, but that moderated considerably in the first half of the summer, with the most optimistic of Democrats having visions of retaining majorities in both the House and the Senate.
In recent weeks, though, those winds in Democrats’ faces have partially returned, almost ensuring that the party will lose its House majority and turning the Senate into something closer to a fair fight, with Democrats still possessing a slight edge. …
In some states and districts, the renewed Democratic headwinds may not be sufficient to offset the newfound Republican disadvantage of having too many exotic and potentially problematic nominees, particularly in the Senate, where every single seat can represent the difference between keeping a Chuck Schumer-led Democratic Senate or a Republican majority led by Mitch McConnell. CONTINUED
Charlie Cook
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