Polls almost always move toward Republicans in the fall

There’s little surprise so far in October. According to social media, half the world spent the weekend at a pumpkin patch, and the other half spent it debating the merits of Christopher Columbus. The usual schools lead the college football rankings. And political coverage is telling you that “the polls have tightened.” Whether, or by how much, polls actually tighten depends on the specific race one is looking at, but some polls showing some closer races in October has become utterly predictable. CONTINUED

Natalie Jackson, National Journal


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