Key Points
• In an election where Republicans are banking on the environment while Democrats are banking on differences in candidate quality, Republicans are relying on a very inexperienced group of candidates.
• Compared to 2014, the last time Republicans flipped the Senate, the party’s non-incumbent candidates are incredibly green.
• Democrats, meanwhile, are running a number of incumbents and current officeholders in competitive races, although holding office, in many instances, comes with a voting record that opponents can exploit.
• The quality of candidates on the Republican side is such an issue that we think the race for the Senate majority is basically a Toss-up. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Crystal Ball Senate ratings
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