House Math and History

Just about every election analyst and handicapper agrees that the House is all-but-certain to flip. The only disagreement these days is how many seats Republicans will gain.

On paper, the grim political environment suggests the kind of wave election that rivals the wipeouts of 1994 and 2010, when the party in power lost more than 50 seats.

However, our current forecast, as analyzed by House editor David Wasserman, is for GOP gains in the 20-35 seat range.

Why don’t we foresee 50-60 seat sweep? CONTINUED

Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter


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