Anyone who’s sure they know what the midterm-election implications of the events over the last few weeks will be is a) a fool, b) a cheerleader, c) really new to politics, or d) some combination of those. Until there is a whole lot more polling data, certainty is folly.
A pair of U.S. Supreme Court rulings ignited a firestorm. One decision reversed the Court’s landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade decision that protected the ability of women to obtain abortions in many circumstances. The other overturned a New York City law that put strict limits on private citizens carrying guns outside the home, opening the door for challenges to other gun laws elsewhere. …
Sooner or later, abortion and guns may very well bite Republicans on the rear end. But my money is on later, and not until the economy is in the same time zone as normal. If President Biden’s job-approval rating were at 50 percent and the economy was doing fine, I would be a lot more convinced that we are witnessing a game-changing event. As it is, inflation is at a 40-year high and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is at its lowest level since it began in 1966. CONTINUED
Charlie Cook
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