For the last couple of years, I’ve stressed that when it comes to campaign polling, it’s more important to focus on the vote share each candidate is getting than it is to obsess about the margin that separates the two candidates. The fact that a candidate is ‘ahead’ of another candidate by a certain number of points is a poor metric for assessing the strength of that candidate’s chances of winning a race. …
I was reminded of how important it is to keep this “vote share vs. the margin” framing in mind as I watched political Twitter react to two recent polls taken in the battleground states of Georgia and Pennsylvania. CONTINUED
Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
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