Two Different Paths to 41%

President Biden and former president Trump don’t have a lot in common. But, they share the inauspicious distinction of having the lowest approval ratings in modern history for a president 500 days into his first term. The fivethirtyeight.com tracker has Biden’s net approval rating at a dismal -13.3, two points lower than Trump’s -11 in June of 2018.

But, the paths they took to these dismal ratings are very different.

Trump began his presidency with little support from independents and some skepticism among his own base. By the 2018 midterm election, Trump had consolidated his base, but remained deeply unpopular with independent voters. Meanwhile, Biden started his tenure with strong support from his partisans and decent approval ratings among independent voters. But, Biden lost altitude with both in the late summer/early fall of last year and has yet to regain that support.

The question now is whether the different routes their subpar approval ratings can tell us anything about the likely outcome of the November midterm. CONTINUED

Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter


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