Are We Overestimating Roe’s Impact on Politics?

Everyone has their own take on what impact a reversal of Roe v. Wade will have on November’s midterm elections. Here’s mine: To the extent that overturning the 49-year old decision benefits Democrats at all, it won’t be nearly enough to make up for the substantial headwinds they were already facing. In short, it will help out less than they hope and far less than they need.

Why would it not have quite the impact that Democrats pray it will have—and many in the media seem convinced it will have?

First, public opinion is considerably more nuanced than many seem to think. Obviously, the precise wording of questions asked is important, so it is good to look at more than one set of results. CONTINUED

Charlie Cook

Recent polls: Abortion


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