Key Points
• While increasingly salient issues like abortion could change the political environment, Republicans still appear on track for a strong showing in the U.S. House.
• Recent midterms have hollowed out the presidential party’s holdings of districts where the president either did the same or worse than he did nationally — or only a little better.
• Republicans likely will have trouble winning districts where Joe Biden won more than 55% of the vote, but that still leaves them dozens of Democratic-held targets below that mark as redistricting is finalized. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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