Notes on the State of the Senate: The overall picture for November, and the looming primaries in May

… As we assess the Senate map right now, we do currently see the Republicans as favorites to take the majority. This is because, of the most competitive seats — the ones we call Toss-ups — Republicans are defending just 1 (Pennsylvania) and Democrats are defending 3 (Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada). And while we’re holding at a Toss-up rating in all of these races, there are some indications that the Republicans are better-positioned in several if not all of them. CONTINUED

Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball Senate race ratings


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