Key Points
• The U.S. Census Bureau recently reported changes in population from 2020 to 2021.
• While the headline findings mainly dealt with population declines, a number of places (particularly in the Sun Belt) are still experiencing substantial growth.
• A little more than 5 dozen counties with at least 100,000 residents grew by 3% or more from April 2020 to July 2021. These counties are spread across 20 states.
• Almost all of these counties vote Republican for president, although GOP presidential performance has eroded in many of them.
• Nearly half of these counties are in Florida and Texas, and the differing presidential trends in these fast-growing counties help illustrate the changing political trajectory of each state. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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