Mid-term season is upon us. All signs point to it going well for the GOP; in fact, our preliminary forecast gives Democrats just a one in ten chance of retaining control of both the Senate and the House. The big question is less “Will the Republicans win,” but, “How much will they win by”? …
Polling is a snapshot of public sentiment at a specific moment in time, so it’s important to remember that these points are always retroactive and not a guaranteed predictor of what’s to come. Yet unless the situation changes drastically, all signs point to Republicans gaining a meaningful advantage in Congress. CONTINUED
Clifford Young & Catherine Morris, Ipsos
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