Key Points
• Amid a promising national environment for Republicans, we are changing ratings in 4 gubernatorial contests — 3 of which are in the GOP’s favor.
• The power of gubernatorial incumbency will be tested in 2022, both by a plethora of Republican primary challengers to sitting GOP governors and, for Democrats, by the national political climate in next year’s general election.
• This election will feature a relatively high number of incumbents running for reelection compared to many previous midterm years (midterms are when the bulk of the gubernatorial elections are held).
• Despite playing defense in many vulnerable races across the country, Democrats have the 2 clearest gubernatorial pickup opportunities. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Crystal Ball gubernatorial ratings
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