Key Points
• Gerrymanders by Democrats in Illinois and Republicans in Ohio seek to build upon their dominance of their respective states.
• The Ohio Supreme Court could intervene against the GOP gerrymander there, which perhaps helps explain why Republicans were not as aggressive as they could have been, even though Republicans can reasonably hope that the map they drew will perform for them as intended.
• Massachusetts Democrats and Oklahoma Republicans also recently finalized maps that should allow both to maintain their monopolies on House seats in their respective states.
• Gov. Charlie Baker’s (R-MA) retirement pushes the Massachusetts gubernatorial race from Likely Republican all the way to Likely Democratic. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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