Democrats are likely to have a turnout issue in 2022. To solve this turnout problem, there will be a temptation to double-down on progressive policies. And indeed, President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better agenda polls fairly well.
But Democrats should keep in mind that the Democratic voters likely to sit out 2022 are not the left-wing base. They’ll probably be more moderate and mainstream Democrats.
We already see them doing worse in recent special elections compared to the beginning of the year. Shifts in special election results are often driven by differential turnout between the parties. CONTINUED
Harry Enten, CNN
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