Rating change: Virginia governor’s race could drive 2022 narrative

Even though this fall’s election for governor in Virginia is just one race in one state, it will determine the initial narrative of the 2022 midterm elections.

Former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe has had a consistent advantage over Republican Glenn Youngkin in the commonwealth, but some Democratic strategists are concerned about President Joe Biden’s drag on the race and about a lack of urgency on the Democratic side. …

Acknowledging that narrow margin, Inside Elections is changing its rating of the Virginia gubernatorial race from Likely Democratic to Lean Democratic. The move reflects a better chance of winning for Republicans, but the race is still short of a Toss-up. CONTINUED

Nathan L. Gonzales, Roll Call


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