Key Points
• Independent redistricting commissions are most common out West.
• Democrats currently dominate the House delegations from the West Coast and Southwest, and that is likely to continue.
• However, Republicans may be able to make up a little ground, thanks in part to California losing a seat and Oregon gaining one.
• Democrats can gerrymander Nevada and New Mexico, but it will be difficult for them to squeeze an additional seat out of these small states. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Hypothetical Arizona map with minimal changes
The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack