Key Points
• The reapportionment of House seats and pending redistricting has prevented us from releasing U.S. House ratings so far this cycle.
• While Republicans stand to gain from this process, they would be favored to win the House even if the district lines were not changing.
• Rating the House races based on the current lines shows many more Democratic seats in the Toss-up column than Republican ones. These hypothetical ratings are guided by developments in the 2022 campaign so far as well as the normal tendency for the president’s party to lose ground in the House in midterms. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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