Key Points
• Delays in the redistricting process mean that we won’t be releasing Crystal Ball House district ratings for the foreseeable future.
• However, midterm history along with GOP advantages in redistricting make the Republicans clear, though not certain, favorites to win the House next year.
• Recent midterm history helps illustrate some of the Democratic vulnerabilities if this cycle breaks against the White House, as it did in the past four midterms. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Projected House seat gains/losses following 2020 census
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