Beware the analyses

The Hill and I are taking an end-of-year break. While we’re gone, you’ll no doubt be devouring endless analyses of the 2020 election.

Be careful.

Much of the data being analyzed, and the tools being employed, are laden with problems and pitfalls.

Start with the exit polls. Some critics of these instruments have become rabid, seized by their real imperfections, particularly in the year of COVID-19 and vote by mail, when they are less exit and more just poll. CONTINUED

Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill

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