The Association of Market and Social Research Organisations (AMSRO) today announced that the Inquiry into the Performance of the Opinion Polls at the 2019 Australian Federal Election (AMSRO Polling Inquiry) has released its final report, including recommendations for how to improve political polling in Australia. …
The independent inquiry report concluded that the collective performance of the published national election polls in 2019 constituted a ‘polling failure’ rather than simply a ‘polling miss’, as the polls erred in their estimate of the vote in a manner that was statistically significant and erred in the same direction and at a similar level; and found that the source of errors lay in the polls themselves and was not a result of a last-minute shift in preferences among voters. CONT.
Association of Market and Social Research Organisations