Democrats Are on Track to Win Decisive Battleground Suburbs They Lost in 2016

Democrats’ path to victory in 2020 requires strong majorities in cities and minimizing losses in rural stretches, but it hinges on performance in the suburbs. …

To better understand the dynamics in these decisive places, Third Way used data from the analytics firm Catalist to estimate how many people are likely to vote and for which party in suburban counties (and urban and rural ones, too) this year. …

The battleground suburbs are where 2020 will be won or lost. And this analysis finds that Democrats are in position to do well there this year, including in some unlikely suburban counties. What follows is a deep dive into Democrats’ support in the suburbs, and what it means for the party’s chances of winning in 2020. CONT.

Ryan Pougiales, Third Way

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