The Race to Define the Presidential Race

On the surface, recent polling in battleground states paints a dire picture for President Trump’s re-election prospects. Polls taken in Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin find Former Vice President Joe Biden leading Trump by anywhere from three to eight points. And, in every state but Wisconsin (which was taken in late March and is the oldest of these polls), more voters disapprove than they approve of Trump’s response to the coronavirus outbreak.

But, there is some good news tucked into these numbers for the president. Trump’s vote share in head to head match-ups with Biden is anywhere from three to eight points lower than his job approval rating. In other words, Trump has room to grow his showing against Biden by winning over voters who already think he’s doing a decent job as president. That’s more feasible than trying convince someone to vote for you if they don’t like you in the first place. CONT.

Amy Walter, Cook Political Report


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