Is Biden a shoo-in? Can Sanders come back? Here’s why predicting political outcomes is so hard

It’s been another tough political season for the pundits. Take Super Tuesday. On the Monday before the vote, a typical headline read something like this one from The Hill: “Sanders Poised for Big Super Tuesday.”

On Wednesday, those headlines were replaced by ones like this from CNBC: “Super Tuesday results: Joe Biden shocks the world.”

Predictions gone wrong are nothing new for the punditocracy, of course. CONT.

Jon Wiener (UC Irvine), Los Angeles Times