It’s hardly novel to see the electorate as split into three groups: one side, the other side, and those in the middle. This presidential election can certainly be seen in this way, though the groups are now a bit asymmetric: The side passionately supporting President Trump is about 35 percent of voters; the side adamantly opposed to him represents about 45 percent; and the middle is somewhere between 15 and 20 percent. These numbers are derived from measuring those who strongly approve or disapprove of his performance, as well as those who say they’ll definitely support or definitely oppose his reelection. …
But what will that 15 to 20 percent in the middle be thinking about when they actually begin to focus on the race? CONT.
Charlie Cook